How Regional Dynamics Could Trump National Narratives This Time
India Today|April 15, 2019

The BJP cannot count on a walkover. Powerful regional players will have pivotal roles in determining the course of the election and demand a share of the spoils

Raj Chengappa
How Regional Dynamics Could Trump National Narratives This Time

History has a strange habit of repeating itself in Indian elections. Though no one can predict with accuracy when it will do so. In 1996, the Congress-led government of P.V. Narasimha Rao was looking for a second term. But Rao made a fatal mistake by aligning in Tamil Nadu with the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagham (AIADMK), headed by the late J. Jayalalithaa, despite stiff opposition from the state Congress unit which wanted a tie-up with the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagham (DMK). It led to a split in the party, with G.K. Moopanar, the state Congress leader, forming a new party and aligning with the M. Karunanidhi-led DMK and the Communist Party of India. The newly-formed alliance went on to sweep all 39 Lok Sabha seats in the state. At the national level, the Congress party was reduced to 140 seats—21 short of the Bharatiya Janata Party led by Atal Bihari Vajpayee. If the Congress had allied with the DMK, its tally could have crossed 161 making it the single- largest party and the President of India would have invited Rao rather than Vajpayee to form a coalition government. Had that happened, a different history would have been scripted.

Cut to 2019 and there is a sense of déjà vu about political alliances in Tamil Nadu and the role the state could play at the national level. This time, the BJP, led by Narendra Modi, has entered into a seat-sharing alliance with the AIADMK whose charismatic leader, Jayalalithaa, passed away two years ago. The AIADMK has already suffered a split, with T.T.V. Dhinakaran, the nephew of Jayalalithaa’s close confidante Sasikala, breaking away and forming a new party, the Amma Makkal Munnetra Kazhagam (AMMK), that could play a spoiler for the ruling party in the state. Meanwhile, the Congress has allied with the DMK and there is a right royal battle on for supremacy.

Bu hikaye India Today dergisinin April 15, 2019 sayısından alınmıştır.

Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.

Bu hikaye India Today dergisinin April 15, 2019 sayısından alınmıştır.

Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.

INDIA TODAY DERGISINDEN DAHA FAZLA HIKAYETümünü görüntüle
Killer Stress
India Today

Killer Stress

Unhealthy work practices in Indian companies are taking a toll on employees, triggering health issues and sometimes even death

time-read
10+ dak  |
November 25, 2024
Shuttle Star
India Today

Shuttle Star

Ashwini Ponnappa was the only Indian to compete in the inaugural edition of BDMNTN-XL, a new international badminton tourney with a new format, held in Indonesia

time-read
1 min  |
November 25, 2024
There's No Planet B
India Today

There's No Planet B

All Living Things-Environmental Film Festival (ALT EFF) returns with 72 films to be screened across multiple locations from Nov. 22 to Dec. 8

time-read
2 dak  |
November 25, 2024
AMPED UP AND UNPLUGGED
India Today

AMPED UP AND UNPLUGGED

THE MAHINDRA INDEPENDENCE ROCK FESTIVAL PROMISES AN INTERESTING LINE-UP OF OLD AND NEW ACTS, CEMENTING ITS REPUTATION AS THE 'WOODSTOCK OF INDIA'

time-read
2 dak  |
November 25, 2024
A Musical Marriage
India Today

A Musical Marriage

Faezeh Jalali has returned to the Prithvi Theatre Festival with Runaway Brides, a hilarious musical about Indian weddings

time-read
2 dak  |
November 25, 2024
THE PRICE OF FREEDOM
India Today

THE PRICE OF FREEDOM

Nikhil Advani’s adaptation of Freedom at Midnight details our tumultuous transition to an independent nation

time-read
2 dak  |
November 25, 2024
Family Saga
India Today

Family Saga

RAMONA SEN's The Lady on the Horse doesn't lose its pace while narrating the story of five generations of a family in Calcutta

time-read
2 dak  |
November 25, 2024
THE ETERNAL MOTHER
India Today

THE ETERNAL MOTHER

Prayaag Akbar's new novel delves into the complexities of contemporary India

time-read
2 dak  |
November 25, 2024
TURNING A NEW LEAF
India Today

TURNING A NEW LEAF

Since the turn of the century, we have lost hundreds of thousands of trees. Many had stood for centuries, weathering storms, wars, droughts and famines.

time-read
1 min  |
November 25, 2024
INDIA'S BEATING GREEN HEART
India Today

INDIA'S BEATING GREEN HEART

Ramachandra Guha's new book-Speaking with Nature-is a chronicle of homegrown environmentalism that speaks to the world

time-read
3 dak  |
November 25, 2024