WITH INDIA’S GDP in the July-September 2023 quarter beating all estimates to record growth of 7.6 per cent, is India’s economic engine now firing on all cylinders?
Other data points are positive as well. Goods and Services Tax (GST) collections in November 2023 were 15 per cent up year-on-year at Rs 1.68 lakh crore despite fewer working days in the month due to Diwali. The S&P Global India manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI), a bellwether for economic activity, rose from 55.5 for October to 56 for November.
Following the surge in the BSE Sensex, the market cap of stocks listed on the BSE rose above $4 trillion for the first time. Only four countries (the United States, China, Japan and Hong Kong) have higher market caps. The BJP’s victory in three assembly elections – Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh – has added momentum to Indian stocks ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha poll.
With GDP growth for the first half of 2023-24 averaging 7.7 per cent, global and Indian financial institutions have upgraded their forecasts for India’s full-year GDP growth. State Bank of India now projects India will grow at seven per cent this fiscal. Morgan Stanley projects 6.9 per cent growth in 2023-24. Barclays, Citigroup and Bank of Baroda forecast full-year growth at 6.7 per cent.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has cautiously stuck to its prediction of 6.5 per cent growth in 2023-24. But for that to happen, growth in the second half of this fiscal – October 2023 to March 2024 – would need to fall to 5.3 per cent. That is unlikely to happen, even assuming the most pessimistic scenario of a spike in crude oil prices to $100 a barrel and further trade disruption due to the Russia-Ukraine war which, as sub-zero winter temperatures set in, is likely to remain stalemated.
Bu hikaye BW Businessworld dergisinin January 13, 2024 sayısından alınmıştır.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber ? Giriş Yap
Bu hikaye BW Businessworld dergisinin January 13, 2024 sayısından alınmıştır.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber? Giriş Yap
Gauging Trumponomics For India
Despite some shortto mediumterm headwinds in trade and immigration, the broader Indo-US vision of counterbalancing China’s influence is expected to ensure continued cooperation under Trump 2.0
Reflections on Consciousness and Creation
Indian-American DEEPAK CHOPRA on the nature of the universe, the digital fabric of existence, and the power of a conscious mind
MORE TAKE TO DRIVING IN STYLE
High-end luxury vehicles are no longer part of a niche market, but a rapidly expanding segment of automobile sales, driven by changing consumer preferences, rising disposable incomes and better infrastructure
India's Growing Affinity for Swiss Watches: A Luxury on the Rise
NDIA'S ROBUST ECONOMIC growth, projected to exceed 6 per cent in 2024 and 2025, is fostering a rising demand for aspirational products. As disposable incomes increase, particularly among the expanding middle class, luxury goods such as Swiss-made watches are gaining popularity.
An ENRiching Outlook
KPMG's latest report shows energy CEOs being optimistic about the sector's outlook. ANISH DE, Global Head, ENRC, KPMG speaks to BW Businessworld's Arjun Yadav on what's driving this confidence
Paving the Path to a Sustainable Future
Salesforce's ESG journey has made an impact beyond the company. SUNYA NORMAN, SVP of ESG Strategy and Engagement at Salesforce, shares more on how the tech giant integrates sustainability into its core operations, supporting global goals while empowering employees
LEADERSHIP TRANSITION AT XIAOMI INDIA
Xiaomi India is experiencing a leadership evolution, beginning with Muralikrishnan B's departure as President by the end of 2024. This change underscores Xiaomi's shift towards nurturing local talent amidst dynamic global shifts. The story tracks key transitions from Manu Kumar Jain's leadership to Muralikrishnan B's impactful tenure, along with recent strategic hires, highlighting Xiaomi's alignment towards market adaptability and consumer focus
WEAVING SUSTAINABILITY
Once a modest home textile manufacturer, Jindal Worldwide has evolved into a vertically integrated textile powerhouse, spanning critical segments of the yarn and fabric value chain
FORCE FOR GOOD
FY24 saw capacity expansions for Century Enka in nylon and polyester segments, along with investments in modernisation, renewable energy, and safety initiatives
REIMAGINING TOMORROW
For V-Guard, tomorrow signifies progress, driven by today's actions, setting the foundation for future growth and value creation for all stakeholders
