Global markets face Volatility over US election uncertainty
The Guardian|November 05, 2024
Investors were bracing for a week of volatile trading in global financial markets yesterday on the eve of one of the most closely fought elections in US history.
Richard Partington

As voters in the world's largest economy prepared to head to the polls, the dollar and the yield on US Treasury bonds fell as investors pared bets on a Donald Trump victory.

The dollar dipped 0.6% against a trade-weighted basket of currencies, falling to its lowest level in two weeks after a surprise opinion poll showed Kamala Harris ahead in Iowa, which had been expected to be a safe state for the Republicans. The yield - in effect, the interest rate - on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell by about nine basis points to 4.28%.

Trump has been ahead in betting markets despite trailing in opinion polls, leading to what Wall Street has called the "Trump trade" - a bet that his policies could lead to a boost for share prices, Treasury yields and the dollar if he were to be elected.

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