HO will be the next US president? Hazarding a guess would be like flipping a coin. If one were to go by the average of all opinion polls, former president Donald John Trump is fast closing the gap with incumbent vice-president Kamala Devi Harris, who has held a lead ever since she got a wild card entry into the fray after President Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr opted out.
According to the latest projections by election analysis site FiveThirtyEight, Trump won 526 times out of 1,000 simulations and Harris 471 times. Three of these simulations, done using polling, economic and demographic data, threw up no winner.
The higher winning probability for Trump, however, doesn't mean he is poised to get more votes from Americans than Harris. This is because in US presidential elections, the total votes polled nationally in favour of candidates in themselves don't decide the winner. What matters is the vote of the Electoral College, comprising 538 electors who will actually pick the next US President. The presidential candidate who has the support of a minimum of 270 electors (half of the Electoral College + 1) will emerge victorious. In the rare event of a 269-269 tie, the newly elected House of Representatives will decide the winner.
There have been instances in the past where those who got the majority of popular votes failed to make it to the White House. In 2016, for example, Hillary Clinton received nearly three million more votes than Trump, but the latter became President with the
for the Republican candidate, then the Republican slate of electors is chosen. If a majority vote for the Democratic presidential candidate, the Democratic slate of electors is chosen.
Bu hikaye The New Indian Express dergisinin November 03, 2024 sayısından alınmıştır.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber ? Giriş Yap
Bu hikaye The New Indian Express dergisinin November 03, 2024 sayısından alınmıştır.
Start your 7-day Magzter GOLD free trial to access thousands of curated premium stories, and 9,000+ magazines and newspapers.
Already a subscriber? Giriş Yap
1K CM Pharmacies to be opened on February 24
MINISTER for Cooperation K R Periyakaruppan on Tuesday announced that 1,000 ‘Mudalvar Marunthagam’ (Chief Minister’s Pharmacy) outlets, which will sell generic medicines at subsidised rates, will be inaugurated by Chief Minister M K Stalin on February 24.
Tariff not a hurdle for Indo-US trade deal, say officials
WITH the sword of high tariff hanging over its head, the government believes that the issue of reciprocal tariff and Bilateral Trade Agreement with the US can be dealt with separately.
Beauty In The Bare
RT isn't something you see on walls or stages; it fills everyday moments.
Holding areas, new SOPs to ease crowding at stns
In the wake of the stampede at the New Delhi railway station on Saturday, the Ministry of Railways on Monday announced a slew of measures to prevent untoward incidents as it identified 60 railway stations across the country that experience high footfalls.
Kasimedu harbour facelift work to be over in next few months
WORKS are under way to transform the Chennai Fishing Harbour at Kasimedu under the ₹127-crore modernisation project.
2 Flights Carrying 33 Gujaratis From US Land at Ahmedabad
A group of 33 Gujaratis, part of the second batch of illegal Indian immigrant deportees from the US that landed in Amritsar, arrived at Ahmedabad on Monday.
In rare gesture, PM receives Emir of Qatar personally
IN a rare display of warmth and a departure from usual protocol, Prime Minister Narendra Modi personally went to the airport on Monday to welcome the Emir of Qatar, Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al Thani, who arrived in India for a two-day visit.
No end to Samsung protest, families join workers' agitation
FOR the first time after protests erupted again at the Samsung India unit near Sriperumbudur over the suspension of three workers, family members of the staff joined them in a protest held at the Bazaar Area of Sunguvarchatram on Monday morning.
I COULDN'T HAVE DONE QUEER WHILE I WAS DOING JAMES BOND
Daniel Craig talks about portraying William Lee in Queer, while director Luca Guadagnino discusses experimentation, directing films back to back, and more
Beach sand: HC orders CBI probe, recovery of ₹5.8K cr
FINDING a strong case of collusion, corruption and connivance among politicians, officials and mining mafia in causing thousands of crores of rupees loss to the state exchequer in the excavation of beach sand minerals (BSM), the Madras High Court on Monday ordered a probe by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI).
