Jays stay on brand with low-risk picks

The current Blue Jays regime typically focuses on the floor of its roster more than the ceiling. The strategy is often apparent in how they operate through free agency and trades. It's also noticeable in how they scout and draft amateur players.

- GREGOR CHISHOLM

It's not that the front office is entirely risk averse. Last year, they drafted 17-year-old high school shortstop Arjun Nimmala in the first round and the season before they signed Yusei Kikuchi to a lucrative three-year deal despite a career ERA of close to five.

There is, however, a clear preference for players who are easier to project. They like certainty - as much as it can be found in an unpredictable sport - and place value in pitchers who eat up innings, or hitters who put the ball in play while possessing positional versatility.

The strategy doesn't always work.

The Jays entered this year having made the playoffs each of the last two seasons, but with a 44-52 record at the all-star break they are unlikely to sniff meaningful baseball during the second half. Their minor-league system lacks highend prospects and is considered by many experts to be one of the worst in baseball.

If you thought recent regression would lead to a new approach, think again. This group sticks to its beliefs and algorithms even in the face of turmoil. General manager Ross Atkins and company doubled down on a failed offence during the off-season and this month they did the same with the draft.