More than money at stake
Toronto Star|February 07, 2024
Jays can afford to lose in arbitration, but can’t afford to alienate Guerrero
GREGOR CHISHOLM
More than money at stake

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is seeking a salary of $19.9 million for next season, while the Blue Jays have proposed $18.05 million.

Regardless of the verdict in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s salary arbitration case, the three-time all-star is set to make Major League Baseball history. Win or lose, he’s about to receive the highest annual salary awarded by a three-person panel.

The result of Tuesday’s hearing will determine whether Guerrero earns the $19.9 million (U.S.) his side submitted or the $18.05 million proposed by the Blue Jays. After arguments were heard from both sides, the arbiters vote on which number will be set for the upcoming season.

That result remained unknown late Tuesday night. Last year, the verdict in Teoscar Hernández’s $14million case with the Seattle Mariners — which set the record Guerrero will break — was announced about 24 hours later. Ditto for Houston’s Mauricio Dubón this week, which means a decision on Guerrero is expected Wednesday.

The $1.8-million discrepancy isn’t going to make much of a difference to Guerrero, who has already made $23 million in his career and will earn much more in the future, particularly once he becomes eligible for free agency in 2025. It also shouldn’t make much of difference to the Jays, who project to have a competitive balance payroll of more than $250 million for the upcoming year according to FanGraphs.

Both sides want to win, but knowing they could afford to lose and with the stakes this low, it’s fair to question why they didn’t reach a settlement beforehand to avoid the contentious process entirely.

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