The next horizon of opportunity in FOOD AND GROCERY RETAIL
Progressive Grocer|February 2020
Saloni Nangia, President, Technopak Research, in her talk delivered at India Food Forum, explains why packaged food is arguably the most exciting segment in terms of growth prospects in the coming years.
Virat Bahri
The next horizon of opportunity in FOOD AND GROCERY RETAIL

It is interesting to note that private consumption for consumer goods would cross US$ 1 trillion in another two years (FY 2022). Today, India is about $2.8 trillion economy and growing at anywhere between 5-7%. We think it will become a $3.5 trillion economy in the next two years. When we look at the $1 trillion of consumption, $660 billion is food and grocery. It currently stands at around $ 545 billion, which means we are adding $100-120 billion every 2 years or $55-60 billion every year.

The packaged food industry will grow much faster than our economy or food and grocery consumption. That is where the opportunity lies for brands and for the industry to move from unbranded to branded, from loose to packaged. We think that this will cross $100 billion in the next four years. As more companies, brands and PE money come in, we may see this market grow even faster.

What are the key factors enabling this growth? One is of course the fact that we have seen organised retail come up over the past 15 years and grow very rapidly in the past few years. The second is the changes that are happening at a consumer level in terms of behaviour and consumption.

Currently, organised retailing is a very small number at about 3.7-4% or $21 billion. But it is growing much faster than the general food and grocery consumption. It will be growing by leaps and bounds to reach US$ 76 billion by 2025.

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