Banks may see 4-11% impact on earnings
Business Standard|July 27, 2024
The Reserve Bank of India's draft norms proposing an additional 5 per cent "run-off” for retail deposits in the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) calculations threaten to slice bank earnings by 4-11 per cent as lenders will have to decelerate loan growth while taking measures to bolster sluggish deposit growth by offering higher interest rates, according to according to analysts.
MANOJIT SAHA & ANJALI KUMARI
Banks may see 4-11% impact on earnings

Citing the increasing prevalence ( mobile and internet banking in India, which enables depositors to easily withdraw their funds, the central bank has suggested an additional 5 per cent run-off factor for retail deposits with digital banking facilities. Analysts predict that the potential impact on LCRs, should these norms be enacted, could be as severe as a 20-30 percentage point reduction.

"Banks do carry buffers over LCR norms, but to maintain current levels, they may need to increase deposit growth/trim loan growth, which could affect earnings by 4-10 per cent, with a higher impact on PSU banks," Jefferies said in a note to its clients.

According to analysts, banks with an LCR exceeding 130 per cent are relatively comfortable, though not many lenders boast such robust ratios.

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