Prime Minister Narendra Modi addresses during the BJP pub-lic meeting, on September 24, 2016 in Kozhikode, India.
Narendra Modi’s speech last Saturday in a Kozhikode party rally should be seen as a watershed event in his prime ministership and his approach to Pakistan. His speech was remarkable both for the aggressive intent conveyed and the different constituencies he addressed.
In a few short minutes, he spoke directly to the Pakistani people, sent a message to the Pakistani Deep State, reassured his domestic audience, mollified his core political support base, and allowed the international community to breathe easy. Each constituency got a subtly different message that effectively leaves him with room for policy manoeuvre.
Consider what each constituency wanted from him after the Uri attack by Pakistan-based terrorists killed 18 soldiers: the Pakistani Deep State (the army, the ISI and the various Islamist and jihadi groups under army control) wants to kill India with a “thousand cuts” and provoke it to take hasty action that invites global attention and internationalisation of the so-called Kashmir dispute.
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The domestic audience wants to know that Modi is no rash warmonger even while protecting national interests. His core right-wing support base wants action, preferably macho military action. And the global community, already distracted with many mini wars in West Asia and facing terrorism on home soil, does not want India to escalate its problems with Pakistan. The world fears that a conflict between India and Pakistan carries the risk of nuclear escalation. This is why the Modi speech should be seen as masterful, since it addressed all constituencies. Consider some of the statements he made. He said he was prepared for a 1,000-year conflict, which was a message to the Deep State that India is ready to return its thousand cuts with some cut-and thrust of its own.
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