At some point, to win this tournament, you’re going to have to win batting first.” Aaron Finch’s words on the eve of the T20 World Cup final lacked the usual Aussie bravado, probably because the numbers stack up so heavily against him in the UAE.
Across venues, only one match out of 14 has been won batting first in the Super 12 stage. Teams that have batted first in the T20 World Cup have won only once out of 12 instances in Dubai, the venue for the final.
The T20 World Cup itself seems skewed in favour of chasing teams, especially in the knockout stages. In the previous five finals, only once, the West Indies in 2012, has a team won batting first.
Given half a chance, the team winning the toss on Sunday would like to bowl first, although the dew surprisingly played truant in the Australia-Pakistan semifinal.
The Australian skipper, however, is convinced any one of the finalists can buck the trend. Finch reckons Australia’s batting-heavy team has the goods to put a match-winning total on the board.
“Absolutely, it (the problem of the toss) can be overcome. I was actually hoping to lose the toss against Pakistan because I would have loved to put a score on the board in that semifinal.
“It was one of those ones where you’re probably never going to bat first, but you don’t mind if you have to. It’s the same going into the final,” he said.
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