Window Dressing The Budget
FRONTLINE|February 16, 2018

Budget 2018-19 will feature a window dressed Revised Estimate to ensure that the fiscal deficit is on target. The government’s decision to sell its stake in HPCL to ONGC is only one more step in that direction.

C.P.Chandrasekhar
Window Dressing The Budget

THE tendency of the current government to misinform and conceal is well known. Yet its periodic resort to such practices does not fail to surprise. The most recent example is the decision to sell its shareholding in Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL) to the Oil and Natural Gas Commission (ONGC), which it owns, ostensibly to strengthen the latter. The decision comes at a time when low oil prices have hurt the ONGC. Yet, the ONGC board has cleared the proposal to buy 778,845,375 equity shares in HPCL for cash at a price of Rs.473.97 per share. This acquisition of the government’s 51.11 per cent stake in HPCL, will give the former receipts to the tune of Rs.36,915 crore.

The intention of the “deal” is clearly to obtain during fiscal year 2016-17 what are conveniently defined as “non-debt creating capital receipts”, which are excluded from the fiscal deficit. On January 11, total disinvestment proceeds during the current financial year 2017-18 stood at Rs.54,337.60 crore. With the stake sale in HPCL, these receipts from disinvestment will rise to Rs.91,252.6 crore, far in excess of the Rs.72,500 crore originally budgeted for. That would help the government claim that it has met its fiscal deficit target of 3.2 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) despite the fall in indirect tax receipts consequent to the shift to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) regime. Whether it would also help the government persuade finance capital, especially international finance capital, that the deficit is actually low and its finances are “in order”, is another matter.

この記事は FRONTLINE の February 16, 2018 版に掲載されています。

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