THE KABUL SPILLOVER?
Kashmir Life|August 22, 2021
Security experts are divided over the possible impact of the Kabul situation on Kashmir. But the dramatic Taliban triumph has altered the region’s geopolitics, for the time being, writes Riyaz Wani
Riyaz Wani
THE KABUL SPILLOVER?

As the Taliban return to power in Afghanistan, speculations are rife in India about the likely spill over of the violence into Kashmir. There is a fear in India that the Taliban victory would not only lend a fresh impetus to Kashmir’s otherwise waning militancy but also embolden Pakistan to once again support it with arms and manpower.

A SPILLOVER?

Would this scenario play out as anticipated? There is a likelihood that it would. Senior BJP leader Ram Madhav who was also in charge of Kashmir affairs until last year was among the first in India to warn of Taliban spillover into Kashmir.

“Taliban has over 30K (30,000) mercenaries trained in Pak by ISI. In power in Kabul, Taliban leadership wl (will) now deploy them ‘elsewhere’ wid d (with the) help of mentor Pak. India shud (should) brace up for serious security challenges. Taliban may eventually consume Pak n China 2 (too), but the immediate threat is 4 (for) India,” Madhav tweeted soon after the Taliban took control of Kabul.

Similarly, well-regarded international publications like The Economist have predicted fresh trouble in Kashmir. “Now, with Mr Modi’s Hindu-nationalist government having stirred its own troubles in Kashmir, by stripping the region of autonomy in 2019, it must face the prospect of a new generation of Muslim Kashmiris inspired by the Taliban’s fanaticism,” The Economist wrote in a piece on the implications of Taliban victory for India.

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