Black Voters Could Win It for Trump

Polls show the Republican front-runner is poised to secure more votes from African Americans than any Republican in history—which could tip the presidential election in his favor

- ΚΑΤΕ PLUMMER

DONALD TRUMP MAY WIN MORE BLACK VOTES than any other Republican presidential candidate in history in the upcoming presidential election.

According to national and swing state polls reviewed by Bloomberg, the former president and GOP front-runner has between 14 percent and 30 percent of the Black vote share. This is far beyond the 8 percent of the Black vote the Pew Research Center said the Republican won in the 2020 presidential election and more than any Republican candidate before him.

The NAACP estimated that 5 million African Americans voted in the 1960 presidential election when Richard Nixon won 32 percent of the Black vote. Since then, the Black population has increased from around 10.83 percent or 19,418,190 people, according to an analysis of census data, to 13.6 percent of the overall population or 46,936,733 people.

The Black voting turnout has slightly increased in presidential elections from 58.5 percent of the eligible voting population in 1964, the earliest election for which such figures are available, to 58.7 percent in 2020, according to Statista.

This means if Trump wins more than 13 percent of the vote share, he will gain the highest proportion of the Black vote since Nixon in 1960 and more individual Black votes.